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Equity & Profit — metric reference

Every number in the collapsible stats panel is recomputed continuously while your pipeline moves. Account metrics come from the Trading Console ledger; topological metrics are pure-math diagnostics derived from your currency node, Shape Forge chain, and Strategy Matrix.

Equity

Cash balance plus mark-to-market value of all open positions. This is the headline survival number.

Positive / risingCapital base expanding — room to scale carefully.
Negative / fallingBelow session start — reduce size until edge reasserts.

Session P&L

Realized P&L from closed trades plus unrealized P&L on open tickets.

PositiveNet winners for the session.
NegativeNet losers — inspect strategy mix before adding risk.

Win Rate

wins ÷ closed trades. Hit rate alone does not define edge — pair with profit factor and average payoff.

Above 50%More winners than losers (costs must still be covered).
Below 50%Needs large average win vs average loss to remain profitable.

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough percentage decline on the equity curve built from closed-trade updates.

Near 0%Shallow drawdown — capital preserved.
Deep negativeLarge valley — nonlinear recovery required.

Sharpe (proxy)

Mean per-trade return divided by standard deviation of those returns. Live panel uses a lightweight proxy without annualisation.

Above ~1Risk-adjusted edge in recent sample.
Below 0Variance dominates return — unstable.

Profit Factor

gross wins ÷ gross losses on closed trades.

Above 1.0Dollars won exceed dollars lost.
Below 1.0Aggregate losses exceed gains.

Manifold Score

Bounded tanh score from forge depth and active strategy count — how richly your pipeline occupies the statistical manifold.

Rising / highCoherent geometric support for signals.
Falling / lowSparse composition — weak structural backing.

β₁ Loops

Proxy for persistent 1-dimensional homology — non-trivial loops in the constraint graph formed by your pair and strategies.

ModerateRich structure — regimes and hedges visible.
Near zeroSimplified graph — trend or flat field.

Functor Coherence

Quality of categorical composition across Shape Forge nodes (path → cloud → manifold ordering bonus).

High %Export-ready pipeline.
Low %Broken chain — fix Algorithm Panel blockers.

Signal Entropy

Shannon entropy of uniform strategy votes. Low = consensus; high = strategies disagree.

LowDecisive composite signal.
HighInternal cancellation — narrow the matrix.

Kelly Fraction

f* = p − (1−p)/R capped at 25%. Sizing hint from win rate p and payoff ratio R.

Small positiveMathematical edge supports measured size.
Zero / negativeNo edge — do not scale up.

Deflated Sharpe

Sharpe minus a penalty for multiple strategy trials — guards against selection bias (Bailey–López de Prado sketch).

Still positiveEdge may survive overfitting scrutiny.
NegativeApparent edge may be luck from search.

Tesseract Resonance

How strongly your selected pair aligns with the rotating 4D currency web vertex field.

HighPair coupled to active 4D flow.
LowWeak coupling — consider another node.

Holonomy Stress

Gauge-theory proxy: circulation of price deviation around a quote loop (parallel transport failure).

Near 0Flat connection — rates reconcile.
ElevatedCross-rate stress — arb or break risk.

Geodesic Drift

Instantaneous velocity of equity along the natural gradient on the performance manifold.

PositiveMotion uphill on expected utility.
NegativeMomentum against the strategy.

Pipeline Vitality

Composite health: currency + forge + strategies present. 100% when Algorithm Panel shows VALID.

100%Ready to export and paper-run.
Below 100%Complete blocking steps first.